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Will the S&P 500 close above 7,000 on Dec 31, 2026?

Active Market
Finance
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Probability Chart

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 11, 2026, 1:24 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Jan 1, 2027, 7:59 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the S&P 500 Index official closing price is strictly above 7,000.00 at the regular U.S. market session close on December 31, 2026 (strictly after 2026-11-11T13:23:43.930Z and at or before 2026-12-31T23:59:59.000Z). - "No": Wins if the S&P 500 Index official closing price is at or below 7,000.00 at the regular U.S. market session close on December 31, 2026 (strictly after 2026-11-11T13:23:43.930Z and at or before 2026-12-31T23:59:59.000Z). Clarifications: - If the U.S. stock market is closed on December 31, 2026 (e.g., due to an observed holiday), the official closing price from the last regular trading session on or before that date that falls within the window is used instead.

Data Sources:
https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500/https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.SPX

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created