This market was automatically settled Nov 6, 2026, 3:36 PM UTC
Will the BLS revise August and September 2026 payrolls down by 1,000 or more combined in its October report?
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<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether the BLS will revise August and September 2026 payrolls down by 1,000 or more combined in the October report. The resolution depends on the October BLS release. Resolver 1 and Resolver 2 both report that the BLS released the October 2026 Employment Situation on schedule. Both note that August was revised up by 53,000 and September up by 31,000, leading to a combined +84,000 revision. The criteria require a combined downward revision of at least 1,000. Since both resolvers confirm the revision is upward, "No" wins. They both arrived at the same answer and their evidence seems consistent. The BLS data is authoritative, and there's no mention of access issues. The resolution time checks out since the release was on the 6th at the correct time. No conflicting info. So the answer is definitely 1. </think> ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BLS Employment Situation release for October 2026, published 2026-11-06 at 8:30 AM EST (13:30 UTC), shows that total nonfarm payroll employment for August and September combined is 1,000 or more lower than previously reported. - "No": Wins if the combined net revision is smaller than -1,000 in size, zero or positive, or if the release has not been published by 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC (12:00 AM EST). Clarifications: - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation release for October 2026 is scheduled for 2026-11-06 at 8:30 AM EST (13:30 UTC); the figure is the one first published in that release, and later revisions do not count. - If the release has not been published by 2026-11-07 05:00 UTC (12:00 AM EST), the market resolves "No". - The combined revision is the sentence in the release summary ("employment in August and September combined is X lower/higher than previously reported"); if it is absent, sum the two monthly revisions against the previously published +133,000 (August) and +29,000 (September).
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