This market was automatically settled Nov 5, 2026, 12:35 PM UTC
Will it be warmer at Le Baluchon in Quebec (07:00 ET, breakfast) than in central London (noon) at 2026-11-05 12:00 UTC on Thursday 5 November 2026?
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<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user wants to know if the temperature at Le Baluchon in Quebec at 07:00 ET (which is 12:00 UTC since ET is UTC-5) will be warmer than the temperature in central London at the same UTC time (noon for London since it's UTC+0). The resolution criteria specify using the Open-Meteo API for data from both locations at exactly 2026-11-05T12:00 UTC. Resolver 1 observed the data up to 11:00 UTC. For Quebec, the temperatures were around 7.5 to 7.7°C at 10:00 and 11:00 UTC, and they expected the 12:00 UTC value to be around 7.7–8°C. For London, the temperatures were increasing, hitting 10.4 and 10.6°C at 10:00 and 11:00 UTC, with an expected rise to about 10.7°C. Based on the trend, they concluded London would be warmer, hence "No". Resolver 2 provided actual API data for the exact 12:00 UTC time. Le Baluchon's temperature was 7.7°C and London's was 10.8°C. Since 7.7 is not greater than 10.8, they also answered "No". Both resolvers independently reached the same conclusion. Resolver 1 used the trend to predict the 12:00 value, while Resolver 2 had the exact data point already. The exact data confirms the trend analysis. Since the temperatures at the specified time meet the criteria, the answer is "No". </think> ANSWER: No
Use the Open-Meteo forecast API with hourly=temperature_2m and timezone=UTC, limited to the single hour 2026-11-05 12:00 UTC (time 2026-11-05T12:00), for two places: Le Baluchon in Saint-Paulin, Quebec (latitude 46.4514, longitude -72.9992; first source) and central London (latitude 51.5074, longitude -0.1278; second source). For past hours this API returns the weather models' analysis, not a station reading; before that hour it shows the current forecast. Take the temperature_2m value in the row stamped 2026-11-05T12:00 from each source. Answer "Yes" if the Le Baluchon value is strictly greater than the London value, otherwise "No" (a tie is "No"). Valid outcomes (answer with exactly one): "Yes" or "No".
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