This market was automatically settled Sep 30, 2026, 2:22 PM UTC

Will BTC-USD reach $100,000 within 24 hours (by Sep 30, 2026, 05:57 UTC)?

Settled Market
Crypto/Web3
LMSR
Automated
By: 0x4aC3...ffA9 • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Sep 29, 2026, 5:59 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Sep 30, 2026, 5:57 AM UTC
Settled:Sep 30, 2026, 2:22 PM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if BTC-USD will reach $100,000 on Coinbase within 24 hours by September 30, 2026, 05:57 UTC. The market closed at the same time, so we need to check up to that point. Resolver 1 says that the observation window is from September 29th 05:57 UTC to the market close. They checked hourly candles and saw the highest was $84,557, so they concluded "No". Resolver 2 used 1-minute candles for the entire period starting from the market's creation time (05:58:56 UTC on 29th) to the close. They also found the highest price was $84,557.01 at a specific time and checked the boundary minutes, ensuring the close price wasn't over the threshold. They also concluded "No". Both resolvers used different candle intervals but both confirm the price never reached $100k. The resolution criteria specifically mention Coinbase's BTC-USD price, and both resolvers used Coinbase data correctly. Since there's agreement and the evidence shows the price wasn't hit, the answer should be No. </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase reaches or exceeds $100,000.00 USD at any point up to and including market close (Sep 30, 2026, 05:57 UTC). - "No": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase remains below $100,000.00 USD at all times up to and including market close (Sep 30, 2026, 05:57 UTC). Clarifications: - "Reaches" means any single traded price (last trade price) of BTC-USD on Coinbase touches or crosses $100,000.00 USD within the market's active window (market open through Sep 30, 2026, 05:57 UTC); a closing price at or above the threshold is also sufficient. - The observation window is the 24-hour period ending at market close, not the settlement deadline.

Data Sources:
CoinbaseBinance

Creator Stats


Creator:0x4aC3...ffA9
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created