This market was automatically settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:06 PM UTC

Will ETH-USD be at or above $3,000 at close on Nov 4, 2026, 08:51 UTC?

Settled Market
Crypto/Web3
LMSR
Automated
By: 0x4aC3...ffA9 • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 3, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Nov 4, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
Settled:Nov 4, 2026, 5:06 PM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if ETH-USD will be at or above $3,000 at the close on November 4, 2026, specifically at 08:51 UTC. The market closed at that exact time, so we need to check the price exactly then. The resolution criteria clearly state that the answer depends on the ETH-USD spot price on Coinbase at that specific UTC time. Both resolvers provided their analysis using Coinbase data. Resolver 1 mentioned the open and close prices for that minute as $2,322.85 and $2,323.68, which are both below $3,000. Resolver 2 gave a more detailed breakdown of the 1-minute candle, including the high and low, all of which are still way below the target price. Resolver 2 also confirmed that the price during the entire relevant minute was under $3,000. Since both resolvers agree and their data sources align with the criteria's requirement of using Coinbase's data, it's clear that the price didn't meet the threshold. There's no conflicting information here. Even though Resolver 1's report is shorter, Resolver 2's thorough check of the minute's high and low adds confidence. The market close timestamp is the same as the resolution time, so there's no need to look at data after that. The current time given is after the market close, but the resolvers have already provided the necessary data. Therefore, both resolvers are correct in their assessment, and the answer should be "No." </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the ETH-USD spot price on Coinbase is at or above $3,000.00 at the market's closing time (Nov 4, 2026, 08:51 UTC). - "No": Wins if the ETH-USD spot price on Coinbase is below $3,000.00 at the market's closing time (Nov 4, 2026, 08:51 UTC).

Data Sources:
CoinbaseBinance

Creator Stats


Creator:0x4aC3...ffA9
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created