This market was automatically settled Nov 9, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC

Will SOL/USDT reach $200,000 on Binance within 24 hours of market creation (Nov 8, 2026, 07:59 UTC – Nov 9, 2026, 07:59 UTC)?

Settled Market
Crypto/Web3
LMSR
Automated
By: 0x4aC3...ffA9 • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Nov 9, 2026, 7:59 AM UTC
Settled:Nov 9, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if SOL/USDT will reach $200,000 on Binance within a 24-hour window starting on Nov 8, 2026, at 07:59 UTC and ending on Nov 9, 2026, at 07:59 UTC. The market closed on Nov 9, 2026, at 07:59 UTC, and the current time is a bit after that, but that's the settlement window. First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The "Yes" outcome requires the price to reach or exceed 200,000 USDT at any point during that 24-hour period, as per Binance's data. The "No" outcome is if it doesn't reach that level. Looking at the two resolver reports. Resolver 1 says that SOL/USDT traded between roughly $85 and $90, peaking at around $90.01. They mention that the $200k threshold is way above the actual trading level, so "Yes" didn't happen. Resolver 2 corroborates this by checking Binance's kline data. They note the highest price in the window was 90.01 USDT in the 18:00 UTC hour. The final hour's high was 86.14. Both resolvers are in agreement here. The target is an extremely high amount—200,000 USDT is about 200 times higher than the peak they observed. Given the data from both resolvers, there's no evidence that the price even remotely approached that level. No trades or last prices hit or exceeded 200k. So "No" is the correct answer. The evidence is clear and both resolvers provide consistent data from Binance's records, which is the required source. There's no conflicting information here. The market is resolved as "No". </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the SOL/USDT spot price on Binance reaches or exceeds 200,000 USDT at any point during the 24-hour window from Nov 8, 2026, 07:59 UTC to Nov 9, 2026, 07:59 UTC, as evidenced by any single trade or last price at or above that level on Binance during that period. - "No": Wins if the SOL/USDT spot price on Binance does not reach 200,000 USDT at any point during that window. Clarifications: - A single trade or last price at or above 200,000 USDT on Binance at any moment during the window is sufficient for "Yes" to win.

Data Sources:
BinanceCoinGecko

Creator Stats


Creator:0x4aC3...ffA9
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created