This market was automatically settled Nov 4, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC

Will Carlos Alcaraz win his Rolex Paris Masters second-round match in straight sets on Wednesday 4 November 2026?

Settled Market
Miscellaneous
LMSR
Automated
By: 0x02d4...fe6a • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:Yes

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

Yes50.0%
$0.50/share
No50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 3, 2026, 2:18 PM UTC
Trading Closed:Nov 4, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Settled:Nov 4, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

Yes

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Carlos Alcaraz will win his Rolex Paris Masters second-round match in straight sets on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Both resolvers provided their reports, so I need to check their findings. Resolver 1 says that ESPN data shows Alcaraz won against Alex Michelsen with scores 7-6 (7-4) and 6-3. That's two sets, both won by Alcaraz, so that meets the straight-sets condition. The resolution criteria mention that a "Yes" answer requires him to win in two sets without any retirement or other issues. Resolver 1's evidence seems solid here. Resolver 2 also checked multiple sources: ESPN, BBC, and the official Rolex Paris Masters site. All three sources confirm the same result: Alcaraz beat Michelsen in two sets. They also mention the match is completed, so there's no issue with the event not being finished. Both resolvers agree that the match was won by Alcaraz in straight sets, and all sources are authoritative. I need to ensure there's no conflicting information. Both reports are consistent. The criteria specify that if the match ends by retirement or isn't finished, it should be "No." But both resolvers confirm it was a completed match. So the answer should be "Yes," which is option 0. No evidence is missing, and the resolvers agree. No reason to doubt their conclusions here. The final answer is 0. </think> ANSWER: Yes

Settlement Criteria:

Carlos Alcaraz (seed 2, first-round bye) plays his second-round (round of 32) singles match at the Rolex Paris Masters on Wednesday 4 November 2026 against the winner of Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka; play starts at 11:00 CET (10:00 UTC) and the order of play sets the exact time. The first source is that match in the ESPN data (ATP event 13-2026, competition 186480): each of the two competitors has a name and a winner flag, and once the match is over notes has a text such as "Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) bt <name> 6-4 6-4". The second source is the BBC Sport Paris Masters men's singles scores page for 4 November 2026, which shows the result as "<winner> beat <loser>" with the set scores. Answer "Yes" if Alcaraz won a completed match two sets to love (exactly two sets listed, both won by Alcaraz), otherwise "No". If his opponent wins a set or the match, if it ends by retirement, walkover or default, or if it is not finished by the time you check, answer "No". Valid outcomes (answer with exactly one): "Yes" or "No".

Data Sources:
https://sports.core.api.espn.com/v2/sports/tennis/leagues/atp/events/13-2026/competitions/186480https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/atp-paris-masters/mens-singles/scores-and-schedule/2026-11-04

Creator Stats


Creator:0x02d4...fe6a
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created