This market was automatically settled Jul 23, 2026, 1:49 AM UTC
Will BTC price hit 66.5k by 2pm Mountain Time July 22, 2026?
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Yes
<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether BTC will hit $66,500 by 2 PM Mountain Time on July 22, 2026. The resolution is based on Coinbase's BTC/USD spot price at any point on or before 20:00 UTC that day. Resolver 1 says "Yes" because they mention that on July 21, 2026, BTC hit $66,850, which is above the threshold and within the window. Also, the July 22 open was $66,508.87. Resolver 2 also says "Yes" by checking the OHLC data from Coinbase Pro on July 22, 2026, where the open was $66,516.17, which is above $66,500. Both resolvers are using different data points—Resolver 1 references the previous day's price and the opening of July 22, while Resolver 2 checks the OHLC data for July 22. The key here is whether the price crossed the threshold at any point up to 20:00 UTC (2 PM MDT). Both resolvers confirm that the price was above $66,500 at the start of July 22, which is way before the 20:00 UTC deadline. Also, the OHLC data from Coinbase Pro (Resolver 2) shows the high was $66,698.55, which is well over the target. There's no conflicting evidence between the two resolvers. Both support the "Yes" outcome. The only thing I need to verify is that the Coinbase data they referenced is reliable and fits the resolution criteria. Since both use Coinbase as the source, which is specified in the resolution criteria, and both data points (open price and intraday high) are valid under the "hit at any point" condition, their conclusions hold. Resolver 1's mention of the previous day's price reaching $66,850 might be a bit outside the evaluation window since the window is up to July 22, 20:00 UTC. Wait, no—Wait, the window is up to 20:00 UTC on July 22. If the price hit that on July 21, then that's within the required window because the evaluation is from any time before 20:00 UTC on July 22. So, the July 21 rally is actually before July 22, which means it's relevant. But wait, the question was about hitting by 2 PM Mountain Time July 22, so if it hit on July 21, that's before July 22's deadline. So it's valid. Therefore, Resolver 1's point about the July 21 high is valid, but actually, the evaluation window includes all times up to July 22, 20:00 UTC. But wait, Resolver 2's data is about July 22's open, which is after July 21. That open is at $66,516, which is within the window. Both resolvers have valid points. So both resolvers are correct. Therefore, the answer should be "0" (Yes) as both resolvers agree and their evidence supports the price being above $66,500 before the deadline. </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC/USD spot price on Coinbase reached or exceeded $66,500.00 USD at any point on or before 20:00 UTC on July 22, 2026 (equivalent to 2:00 PM Mountain Daylight Time), as reported by the Coinbase BTC/USD market. - "No": Wins if the BTC/USD spot price on Coinbase did not reach $66,500.00 USD at any point on or before 20:00 UTC on July 22, 2026 (equivalent to 2:00 PM Mountain Daylight Time), as reported by the Coinbase BTC/USD market. Clarifications: - "Hit 66.5k" is interpreted as the BTC/USD last trade price on Coinbase touching or exceeding $66,500.00 USD at any moment during the evaluation window, not merely the price at close. - Mountain Time is interpreted as Mountain Daylight Time (MDT, UTC−6), placing the deadline at 20:00 UTC on July 22, 2026.
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