This market was automatically settled Oct 26, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC

Will Apple release iOS 27.2 to the public by October 26, 2026 (Pacific Time)?

Settled Market
Tech
LMSR
Automated
By: 0xFeb8...814D • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:Yes

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

Yes50.0%
$0.50/share
No50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 21, 2026, 11:13 PM UTC
Trading Closed:Oct 26, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Settled:Oct 26, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

Yes

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether Apple released iOS 27.2 to the public by October 26, 2026 in Pacific Time. The resolution criteria specify a "Yes" if it's released between October 22, 2026 00:00 UTC and the end of October 26 (which is October 27 06:59:59 UTC). Resolver 1 says yes. They reference 9to5Mac and The Apple Post confirming the release on October 26 at 11:33 AM PT, which falls within the window. They emphasize it's a public release, not a beta or RC. Resolver 2 also says yes. They check Apple's Developer Releases page, pointing out the entries for iOS 27.2 without beta labels. They mention the release date again on October 26, and confirm via macrumors.com that it's available via Software Update. Both resolvers agree the release is within the specified timeframe. The resolution criteria require the release to be a general public one, which both resolvers confirm. The dates and times given by both sources align with the required window. No conflicting evidence here. Both used credible sources, and the answer seems straightforward. No reason to doubt their findings. So the answer should be 0. </think> ANSWER: Yes

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Apple releases iOS 27.2 to the public (general release, not a developer or public beta and not a release candidate) strictly after 2026-10-22T00:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-27T06:59:59Z (end of October 26, 2026, Pacific Time). - "No": Wins if Apple does not release iOS 27.2 to the public strictly after 2026-10-22T00:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-27T06:59:59Z. Clarifications: - A public release is iOS 27.2 offered to all supported iPhones through Software Update, as listed on Apple's security releases page or announced on Apple's developer releases feed or newsroom. Releases limited to new hardware, betas, release candidates and Rapid Security Responses do not count. - The release time is the time Apple publishes the update; if only a date is available, the date in Pacific Time is used.

Data Sources:
https://support.apple.com/en-us/100100https://developer.apple.com/news/releases/

Creator Stats


Creator:0xFeb8...814D
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created