This market closed with no outcome

Will ETH/USD be at or above $3,000 at Oct 17, 2026, 08:18 UTC?

No outcome
Crypto/Web3
LMSR
Automated
By: 0x4aC3...ffA9 • 0 trades

No outcome

This market closed without a winning outcome.

What happened:

Positions are paid at the final market prices when trading closed.

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 14, 2026, 8:19 AM UTC
Settlement deadline:Oct 17, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if ETH/USD will be at or above $3,000 on October 17, 2026, at 08:18 UTC. The market closed on October 15, 2026, at 08:18 UTC, so right now it's October 15, 16:26 UTC. Both resolvers have reported their findings. Resolver 1 says that since the settlement time is 40 hours in the future, there's no public evidence available yet. They also mention that guessing based on current trends isn't allowed per the resolution criteria. So they conclude UNKNOWN. Resolver 2 agrees that the settlement time hasn't occurred yet. They checked Coinbase's system and confirmed that while the ETH-USD pair exists and is online, there's no future price data available. They also note that waiting beyond the 360-minute deferral window isn't feasible, so the answer must be UNKNOWN. Now, applying the guidelines. The key point is that the event (the price at the specified time) hasn't happened yet. The resolvers aren't disagreeing; both agree that the evidence isn't available. The Timing rules say that if the evidence hasn't been concluded, it's UNKNOWN. Even though the market closed, the resolution time is still in the future, and the event's outcome isn't known. There's no evidence to support either Yes or No, so the correct answer is UNKNOWN. Neither resolver dismissed evidence improperly, and their reasoning aligns with the criteria. So the final answer should be UNKNOWN. </think> ANSWER: Unknown

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the ETH-USD spot price on Coinbase is at or above $3,000.00 USD at Oct 17, 2026, 08:18 UTC (the market's settlement time). - "No": Wins if the ETH-USD spot price on Coinbase is below $3,000.00 USD at Oct 17, 2026, 08:18 UTC (the market's settlement time).

Data Sources:
CoinbaseBinance

Creator Stats


Creator:0x4aC3...ffA9
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created