This market was automatically settled Oct 31, 2026, 6:17 PM UTC

Will BTC reach $120,000 at any point in the next 24 hours?

Settled Market
Crypto/Web3
LMSR
Automated
By: 0x4aC3...ffA9 • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 30, 2026, 10:05 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Oct 31, 2026, 10:03 AM UTC
Settled:Oct 31, 2026, 6:17 PM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if BTC will reach $120,000 at any point in the next 24 hours. The market closed on 2026-10-31 at 10:03 UTC, and the current time is 18:15 UTC the same day. The resolution criteria specify that the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase needs to reach or exceed $120k for a "Yes" outcome, otherwise "No". Resolver 1 says that the data covers the entire market window, and Coinbase's BTC-USD traded between $76k and $78k, with the highest being around $77,958. They conclude "No" because the price never got close to $120k. Resolver 2 checks the same timeframe using Coinbase's candle data. They mention that the highest price was $77,957.75 in a 5-minute candle. They also checked one-minute candles and found no high near $120k. So they also vote "No". Both resolvers used Coinbase's data. Resolver 1 might have used a general price range summary, while Resolver 2 dove into the candle data specifics. Both agree that the price never hit $120k. The highest price reported is around $77,957, which is significantly below the threshold. There's no indication of any discrepancies in their data sources. Since both reports confirm the BTC price stayed well below the target, the answer is definitely "No". </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase reaches or exceeds $120,000.00 at any point up to and including the market's settlement time. - "No": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase remains below $120,000.00 at all times up to and including the market's settlement time.

Data Sources:
CoinbaseCoinGecko

Creator Stats


Creator:0x4aC3...ffA9
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created