Will the sun explode and erase all life in the solar system in 2026?
Active MarketLeading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades
By: 0xc52c...8167
By: 0xc52c...8167 • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades
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Market Probability Chart
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My Position
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Trade History
0 tradesMarket Stats
Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Sep 22, 2026, 7:01 AM UTC
Trading Closes:Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC
Earliest settlement:Jan 1, 2027, 8:00 AM UTC
Settles within 48 hours of trading close.
AI Settlement
Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if a scientifically confirmed solar explosion (such as a supernova or equivalent catastrophic stellar event) occurs in 2026, resulting in the verified eradication of all life in the solar system. - "No": Wins if no such solar explosion causing the eradication of all life in the solar system is confirmed to have occurred by the end of 2026.
Data Sources:
NASAEuropean Space Agency (ESA)
Creator Stats
Creator:0xc52c...8167
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%
Less than 5 total markets created