This market closed with no outcome
Will USGS record at least 16 M4.5+ earthquakes in the Indonesia region from 2026-10-27 to 2026-11-01 UTC?
No outcomeBy: 0x25C4...Fe2E • 0 trades
No outcome
This market closed without a winning outcome.
What happened:
Positions are paid at the final market prices when trading closed.
Market Sentiment Chart
Yes
No
My Position
No positions are open on this market.
Trade History
0 tradesMarket Stats
Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 26, 2026, 11:19 PM UTC
Settlement deadline:Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
AI Settlement
Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": The USGS earthquake catalog lists at least 16 events of magnitude 4.5 or greater with origin times from 2026-10-27 00:00 to 2026-11-01 23:59:59 UTC inside 11°S-6°N, 95°E-141°E, as returned by the FDSN count query at settlement. - "No": Fewer than 16 such events are listed. Clarifications: - The box covers Indonesia and its seas, including some neighbouring waters; the box governs, not national borders. - Use the catalog as it stands at settlement.
Data Sources:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/fdsnws/event/1/count?starttime=2026-10-27&endtime=2026-11-02&minmagnitude=4.5&minlatitude=-11&maxlatitude=6&minlongitude=95&maxlongitude=141https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
Creator Stats
Creator:0x25C4...Fe2E
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Settle Percentage:0%
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