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Will GTA 6 release before January 1st, 2027?

Active Market
Culture
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: 0xC1dA...a8E7

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Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Sep 21, 2026, 8:10 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Jan 2, 2027, 9:08 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Jan 3, 2027, 5:08 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) is officially released and publicly available for purchase or play on at least one platform before January 1, 2027 UTC. - "No": Wins if Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) has not been officially released on any platform as of the market's settlement time. Clarifications: - "Officially released" means Rockstar Games has launched the game for general consumer availability (not a beta, preview, or early-access program) and confirmed the release via the Rockstar Games Newswire or an equivalent official announcement.

Data Sources:
Rockstar Games NewswireTake-Two Interactive Investor Relations

Creator Stats

Creator:0xC1dA...a8E7
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created