This market was automatically settled Jul 22, 2026, 3:11 AM UTC

Will Spain win the FIFA World Cup 2026?

Settled Market
Sports
DPM
Automated
By: 0x6328...f3c1 • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:Yes

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

Yes50.0%
$0.50/share
No50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Sentiment Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Jul 20, 2026, 6:54 PM UTC
Trading Closed:Jul 21, 2026, 6:53 PM UTC
Settled:Jul 22, 2026, 3:11 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

Yes

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Spain will win the FIFA World Cup 2026. The market closed on July 21, 2026, which is right after the World Cup final that happened on July 19. The current time is July 22, so we're in the period after the market closed. Now, the resolution criteria are that "Yes" wins if Spain is officially confirmed as the champion by FIFA, and "No" otherwise. Both resolvers provided reports. Resolver 1 says that Spain won the final against Argentina 1-0 in extra time, with the trophy officially presented, so the answer is 0 (Yes). Resolver 2 also confirms that the final was on July 19, Spain won, and references FIFA's official standings and final report. Both agree that the criteria are satisfied. Wait, but the market closed on the 21st, and the final was on the 19th. So the event occurred before the market closed. However, the resolvers are pointing to evidence that the result is official. Since the final was on the 19th, but the market closed on the 21st, there's no issue with timing. The resolvers both confirm that Spain is officially the champion. The key here is that the official confirmation by FIFA is what matters, and both resolvers have provided links to FIFA's official sources. There's no conflict between the resolvers, and the evidence seems solid. Therefore, the answer should be 0 (Yes). </think> ANSWER: Yes

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Spain is officially confirmed as the FIFA World Cup 2026 champion by FIFA. - "No": Wins if any team other than Spain is officially confirmed as the FIFA World Cup 2026 champion by FIFA.

Data Sources:
FIFA World Cup 2026 Official Site

Creator Stats


Creator:0x6328...f3c1
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created