This market was automatically settled Nov 5, 2026, 11:35 PM UTC

Will Prometheus v3.16.0 (final) be published on GitHub by Nov 5, 2026, 21:00 UTC?

Settled Market
Tech
LMSR
Automated
By: 0xFeb8...814D • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:Yes

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

Yes50.0%
$0.50/share
No50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 3, 2026, 12:46 PM UTC
Trading Closed:Nov 4, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Settled:Nov 5, 2026, 11:35 PM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

Yes

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether Prometheus v3.16.0 (final) was published on GitHub by November 5, 2026, at 21:00 UTC. Both resolvers reported that the release exists and was published at 16:06 UTC on Nov 5. First, check the resolution criteria. The "Yes" condition requires the release to be non-pre-release, tagged v3.16.0, and published after Oct 26, 00:00 UTC and on or before Nov 5, 21:00 UTC. Both resolvers confirm it's a final release (prerelease is false), and the publication time is 16:06 UTC, which is within the required window. The release date is Nov 5, so the time is well before 21:00 UTC. The resolvers agree on the key points: the release exists, it's a final version, and the timestamp meets the criteria. There's no conflicting information. Also, the current time is after the market close, but the event (release) happened before the deadline. No issues with evidence timing since the release was checked post-market close but before the resolution deadline. Both sources (GitHub page and API) are authoritative. Since both resolvers support answer 0 and their evidence aligns with the criteria, the answer should be 0. </think> ANSWER: Yes

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the prometheus/prometheus GitHub releases page lists a non-pre-release release tagged v3.16.0 with a publication time strictly after 2026-10-26T00:00:00Z and at or before 2026-11-05T21:00:00Z (16:00 Eastern Time on November 5, 2026). - "No": Wins if v3.16.0 (final) is published after 2026-11-05T21:00:00Z or not at all. Clarifications: - Release candidates (v3.16.0-rc.N) and patch releases of other lines (v3.15.x, v3.13.x) do not count. - The publication time is the time GitHub shows for the release (the published_at field of the release); times are read in UTC. - The project's RELEASE.md planned the first v3.16 pre-release for 2026-10-21; v3.16.0-rc.2 was published on 2026-10-28 and no final v3.16.0 exists as of 2026-11-03.

Data Sources:
https://github.com/prometheus/prometheus/releases

Creator Stats


Creator:0xFeb8...814D
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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