Will Tesla stock outperform Nvidia stock in 2026?

Active Market
Finance
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Probability Chart

Tesla outperforms Nvidia
Nvidia outperforms or matches Tesla

My Position

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 7, 2026, 7:13 AM UTC
Trading Closes:Dec 31, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Jan 1, 2027, 2:30 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Tesla outperforms Nvidia": Wins if TSLA's percentage price return is strictly greater than NVDA's percentage price return over the measurement window. - "Nvidia outperforms or matches Tesla": Wins if NVDA's percentage price return is greater than or equal to TSLA's percentage price return over the measurement window. Clarifications: - Measurement window: each stock's percentage price return is calculated from its Nasdaq official closing price strictly after 2025-12-31T18:30:00Z (the first available regular-session closing price on or after that timestamp) to its Nasdaq official closing price at or before 2026-12-31T18:30:00Z (the last available regular-session closing price at or before that timestamp). Percentage return = (ending price − starting price) / starting price × 100. Dividends and splits are excluded; unadjusted closing prices are used.

Data Sources:
https://www.nasdaq.comhttps://www.cnbc.com

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created