This market closed with no outcome
Will InfoDengue’s estimated dengue cases for São Paulo in epi week 42 of 2026 exceed week 41 of 2026?
No outcomeBy: 0x25C4...Fe2E • 0 trades
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Market Sentiment Chart
Yes
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My Position
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Trade History
0 tradesMarket Stats
Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 26, 2026, 11:21 PM UTC
Settlement deadline:Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
AI Settlement
Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": In the first InfoDengue update containing epidemiological week 42 of 2026 for São Paulo (geocode 3550308), estimated cases (casos_est) for that week are strictly higher than casos_est for week 41 of 2026 in the same update. - "No": casos_est for week 42 is equal to or lower than for week 41 in that update. Clarifications: - casos_est is InfoDengue’s delay-corrected estimate; use it, not raw notified cases (casos).
Data Sources:
https://info.dengue.mat.br/api/alertcity?geocode=3550308&disease=dengue&format=json&ew_start=41&ew_end=42&ey_start=2026&ey_end=2026https://info.dengue.mat.br/
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