This market was automatically settled Oct 27, 2026, 1:15 PM UTC

Will BTC reach $110,000 USD within 24 hours?

Settled Market
Crypto/Web3
LMSR
Automated
By: 0x4aC3...ffA9 • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 26, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Oct 27, 2026, 5:01 AM UTC
Settled:Oct 27, 2026, 1:15 PM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if BTC will reach $110,000 within 24 hours, from market open on October 26, 2026, to market close on October 27, 2026. The resolution criteria specify that the BTC-USD spot price needs to reach or exceed $110,000 at any point during that window. Resolver 1 checked Coinbase BTC-USD hourly candles. They noted the highest price was around $80,710, which is way below the target. That's a solid source because Coinbase is a reputable exchange, and the hourly data covers the entire period. Resolver 1 concluded "No" because the price never hit the threshold. Resolver 2 also looks into Coinbase but uses 5-minute candles for more granularity. Their data shows the highest was $80,710.04, same as Resolver 1. They also checked CoinGecko and news sources, both confirming prices around $79k to $80k. Resolved "No" as well. Both resolvers used different time intervals (hourly vs 5-min) but same conclusion. Additionally, Resolver 2 included another data source (CoinGecko) which aligns with the price range from Coinbase. The news articles further support that BTC was below $80k. No conflicting information here. Both resolvers are in agreement. Since the resolution criteria are met by the evidence showing the BTC didn't reach $110k, the answer is definitely "No". The market closed before the next day's 5am UTC, and after-market data isn't needed since the event didn't occur. Evidence from multiple credible sources confirm this. </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price reaches or exceeds $110,000.00 USD at any point within the 24-hour window from market open to market close (ending Oct 27, 2026, 05:01 UTC). - "No": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price does not reach $110,000.00 USD at any point within that same 24-hour window. Clarifications: - "Reaches" means any single traded price or last price reading of BTC-USD at or above $110,000.00 USD during the 24-hour window ending at market close (Oct 27, 2026, 05:01 UTC).

Data Sources:
CoinbaseBinance

Creator Stats


Creator:0x4aC3...ffA9
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created