This market closed with no outcome
Will the Hong Kong Observatory record a maximum temperature of 28°C or higher on 2026-10-28?
No outcomeBy: 0x25C4...Fe2E • 0 trades
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Market Sentiment Chart
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Trading Fee:2.00%
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Created:Oct 26, 2026, 11:20 PM UTC
Settlement deadline:Oct 30, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
AI Settlement
Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": The Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station records an absolute daily maximum temperature of 28.0°C or higher for 2026-10-28 (Hong Kong time). - "No": That maximum is below 28.0°C. Clarifications: - Use the HKO headquarters (Tsim Sha Tsui) reading, not other stations. - If the daily extract and the "Yesterday’s weather" summary differ, the daily extract governs.
Data Sources:
https://www.hko.gov.hk/cis/dailyExtract/dailyExtract_202610.xmlhttps://www.hko.gov.hk/en/wxinfo/pastwx/metob.htm
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