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Will RKI’s AMELAG wastewater load for SARS-CoV-2 in Germany for week 2026-W43 be higher than for week 2026-W42?
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Created:Oct 26, 2026, 11:19 PM UTC
Settlement deadline:Oct 29, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
AI Settlement
Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": In RKI’s amelag_aggregierte_kurve.tsv, the viruslast value for typ "SARS-CoV-2" dated 2026-10-21 (week 2026-W43) is strictly higher than the value dated 2026-10-14 (week 2026-W42), in the first release that contains 2026-10-21. - "No": The 2026-10-21 value is equal to or lower than the 2026-10-14 value, using that same release. Clarifications: - Use the viruslast column, not the normalised or forecast columns.
Data Sources:
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/robert-koch-institut/Abwassersurveillance_AMELAG/main/amelag_aggregierte_kurve.tsvhttps://github.com/robert-koch-institut/Abwassersurveillance_AMELAG
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