Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SportsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick0.8%$0.01
- No99.2%$0.99
Forecast only. Not tradable.
The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Yamal was joint-favorite at 50% odds on September 30, but market probability collapsed to 1% by October 26 as Harry Kane surged to 57.9% favorite, suggesting Yamal's World Cup win and strong La Liga stats (16 goals, 11 assists) proved insufficient against Kane's overall 2025-26 performance.