Will US inflation cool in November 2026 (October 2026 CPI report)?
EconomicsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick23.8%$0.24
- No76.3%$0.76
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
September's hotter-than-expected 3.7% annual inflation and 0.6% monthly increase, driven by Iran war-related energy spikes, make cooling unlikely in the next 24 days. Cleveland Fed nowcasts estimate October CPI at 3.77% year-over-year with only 0.27% monthly growth, suggesting minimal improvement from September's elevated levels. Consumer inflation expectations hit their highest since May 2023 at 3.9%, indicating persistent price pressures through the November report release.
