Predict something else

Will NASA land astronauts on the Moon before Jan 1, 2030?

TechForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick23.3%$0.23
  • No76.8%$0.77
Forecast only. Not tradable.

This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.

Forecast reasoning

NASA accelerated Artemis to target early 2028 for crewed lunar landing, with hardware on schedule and processing timelines cut 50%, but the Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel flagged Human Landing System complexity and delays as casting doubt on feasibility.