“Will the earliest numeric temperature at KNYC (api.weather.gov) timestamped Nov 14 18:00–18:59 UTC 2026 be below 10°C? (No if none published by Nov 15 01:00 UTC)” on Delphi

Will the earliest numeric temperature at KNYC (api.weather.gov) timestamped Nov 14 18:00–18:59 UTC 2026 be below 10°C? (No if none published by Nov 15 01:00 UTC)

WeatherForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

Yes, below 10°C85.5%$0.86
No, 10°C or above / none14.5%$0.15

Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

Multiple forecasts show November 14 temperatures in the 6–8°C range, with one source predicting a high of just 8°C, supporting the below-10°C threshold. The 18:00–18:59 UTC window (1–2 PM EST) typically sees afternoon warming, but forecasted highs near 8°C suggest even peak afternoon readings may stay below 10°C. However, no actual observation data exists yet for November 14, so the 86% reflects forecast confidence rather than measured conditions.