Will SpaceX launch USSF-317 by Nov 15, 2026 at 09:00 UTC, per first official SpaceX or US Space Force liftoff confirmation published by that cutoff?
TechForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes47.0%$0.47
- No53.0%$0.53
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
SpaceX's official schedule shows USSF-317 launching November 15 at 03:55 UTC with an 8-hour window, well within the 09:00 UTC cutoff, but recent delays to November 18 and Vandenberg's history of technical scrubs in late 2025 create uncertainty. Falcon 9's 99.84% success rate and SpaceX's 100% launch record in 2025 support execution, but the 47% reflects only 2 days remaining for weather and ground issues to prevent liftoff.