Predict something else

Will the first BEA October 2026 PCE release by Nov 25, 2026 at 21:00 UTC report core PCE (ex food & energy) rising ≥0.3% MoM (1-decimal, no revisions; NO if missing)?

EconomicsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yes52.8%$0.53
  • No47.3%$0.47
Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

September 2026 core PCE hit exactly 0.3% MoM, and analysts project October in a 0.27%-0.33% range with central estimate around 0.30%, giving roughly even odds of meeting the ≥0.3% threshold; historically 46% of months from March 2022–June 2026 reached this level, rising to 67% in 2026 year-to-date.